Publications

1998
Michel Strawczynski. 1998. Social Insurance And The Optimum Piecewise Linear Income Tax. Journal Of Public Economics , 69, Pp. 371-388. Abstract

This paper calculates optimal linear income taxes when differences in income are caused by random factors (‘luck’) rather than by unobserved individual skills, as assumed in the classical theory of income taxation. As first shown by Varian (1980) [Varian, H.R., 1980. Redistributive taxation as social insurance, Journal of Public Economics 14, 49–68] in the former case income taxation acts as social insurance. By introducing life uncertainty and precautionary behavior, we find higher optimal marginal tax rates than those found by Varian. We also find that – in the context of a piecewise two-bracket linear tax schedule – the second marginal tax is higher than the first, a finding that contrasts with results recently obtained in the framework of classical income taxation theory, which show a lower second marginal tax.

1996
Zvi Hercowitz and Strawczynski, Michel . 1996. Government Debt Policy In Israel (In Hebrew). Bank Of Israel Economic Review, 70, Pp. 3-26. Abstract
In this paper we study the optimal debt policy for Israel and characterize it for the period 1993 onwards. Optimal debt path is related to deviations of government spending, GDP and received unilateral transfers from their long-term trends. According to our framework government spending and GDP are two forces that increase the future path of government debt to GDP ratio, while unilateral transfers tend to reduce it. Our simulation shows that it is possible to reduce statutory tax rates in the future while at the same time allowing for a reduction of debt to GDP ratio.    
Momi Dahan Michel and Strawczynski. 1996. Government Finance And Endogenous Growth. Applied Economics Letters, 3, Pp. 789-791. Abstract

A crucial assumption for the solution of the endogenous growth model with government intervention is a balanced budget along the perpetual steady state. This assumption is unreal once we are interested to test the model using government data, given that in most countries the budget is not balanced. In this letter we adopt the well-known rule of ‘tax smoothing’ in order to make this assumption a realistic one. According to our approach the relevant variable for the implementation of a balanced budget is permanent government expenses. The empirical performance of the model is characterized using Israeli data.

Strawczynski M and Dahan M. 1996. The Public Sector Budget And Economic Growth In Israel. Journal Of Economic Development, 21, 1, Pp. 119-148. Abstract

In this study we perform a time series analysis of economic growth in Israel, a  country that in its short history vas been characterized by sharp changes in the public sector budget deficit and its composition. We found that the endogenous growth model is more suitable for Israeli data than the classical exogenous growth model. The paper also provides a framework for dealing with unbalanced budgets in the context of the endogenous growth model.  According to our theoretical model and empirical findings for Israel, the permanent taxes are a better measure than actual taxes of their influence on growth.

1995
1995. Income Uncertainty And Ricardian Equivalence. American Economic Review, 85, 4, Pp. 964-967. Abstract

It is well known that "pure" Ricardian equivalence fails whenever there is a nonzero probability for a corner solution in the future. The interesting question remains whether consumers seem more Keynesian or more Ricardian (by consuming or saving, respectively, a substantial portion of an announced and noncontingent tax cut). For the case of income uncertainty, and assuming precautionary behavior, I have shown that the answer depends on the characteristics of the corner solutions. If the corner solution has to do with parental poverty (when marginal utility is sensitive to extra consumption), the transfer given by the government allows for a substantial reduction of precautionary savings and consequently the departure from Ricardian equivalence looks Keynesian. If it has to do with children's wealth, marginal utility is less sensitive to extra consumption, and consequently the results appear Ricardian. This finding stresses the importance of differentiating among different types of income uncertainty.

1994
Michel Strawczynski. 1994. Government Intervention As A Bequest Substitute. Journal Of Public Economics , 53, Pp. 477-495. Abstract

A subsequent generations model is used to characterize consumption allocation under the future generation's income uncertainty. Altruistic concerns toward the future generation gives rise to precautionary bequests which act as a hedge on risk. It is shown that given a first-order correlation between mean future income and the present generation's income, government intervention can provide a Pareto improvement through a tax-transfer policy with universal participation. This policy acts as a substitute for precautionary bequests. Distributional aspects of the tax-transfer policy are also discussed.

1992
Strawczynski M Maoz I. 1992. Significance Of Insurance Aspect In The Demand Price Of Coal. Pacific And Asian Journal Of Energy , 52, Pp. 25-38. Abstract

This paper considers insurance aspects in the demand price of coal as a way of hedging price uncertainty. The paper shows an empirical assessment of insurance aspects and its implications for the price of coal.

1991
Michel Strawczynski. 1991. Income Uncertainty, Bequests And Annuities. Economics Letters , 42, Pp. 155-158. Abstract

Life and income uncertainty are modeled simultaneously in order to analyze the influence of perfecting income insurance in the size of bequests and demand for annuities. The main result shows that government intervention aimed at providing intergenerational risk sharing acts as a bequest substitute, and if annuities are available, reduces the demand for annuities.

1990

Deviating from marginal cost is a common practice in oil products pricing. Israeli pricing set deviations according to the price relationships of an exogenous selected market.   In this paper we compare this solution with the solution obtained from a maximizer social planner model that takes into account efficiency and income distribution considerations. Through welfare index calculations and comparative statics exercises we show that welfare can be affected by exogenous developments from the point of view of the local market.